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Matt joined the IdahoSports.com team in the fall of 2011. He is the Sports Information Director and also broadcasts many sporting events throughout Idaho. Matt grew up in Alberta, Canada and moved to the Gem State in 2004. He holds a Bachelors Degree in Broadcast Communications and works for Riverbend Communications. Matt married his wife (and much better half), Hannah, in 2010 and they have three children: Eli, Naomi, and Elizabeth. He and his family reside in Idaho Falls. Follow Matt on Twitter: @IdahoSportsMatt

 

2A Football Playoff & Tiebreaker Scenarios
Published: 10/18/2016 2:06:35 PM

A look at the playoff and tiebreaker scenarios for all 2A conferences in Idaho.



To see the 2A State Football Tournament bracket, click HERE.

Here is a look at all of the potential playoff and tiebreaker scenarios as we head into the final week of the regular season.

2A District 1-2 Central Idaho League

Total berths to the state tournament: three.

Clinched Playoff Berth
St. Maries Lumberjacks
Grangeville Bulldogs
Orofino Maniacs

With three berths to the state tournament and only three teams in the conference, all of these teams were technically in the playoffs before the season ever started. However, it should be noted that the first round of the 2A state tournament is only a play-in round and not officially an IHSAA state tournament round. Regardless, with all three teams into the tournament it just comes down to a matter of seeding now. 

Grangeville has completed their conference schedule with a 1-1 record. St. Maries hosts Orofino this week. Here are the scenarios:

If St. Maries beats Orofino
St. Maries finishes first and takes seed 1-2A, Grangeville finishes second and takes seed 1-2B, and Orofino finishes third and takes seed 1-2C.

If Orofino beats St. Maries
3-way tie for first place between St. Maries, Grangeville, and Orofino. The three-way tie is broken using the Azzie point differential system. It takes the point-differential of a team's wins and losses against the teams it is in a tie with and combines them for a tiebreaking differential. There is also a cap of 21 points, meaning that a 50-point win is the same as a 21-point win.

Here's how it currently stands points-wise for these three teams:

Grangeville
Beat Orofino 21-6. Differential: +15
Lost to St. Maries 8-0. Differential: -8
Total point differential: +7

St. Maries
Beat Grangeville 8-0. Differential: +8
Total point differential: +8
(St. Maries plays Orofino this week)

Orofino
Lost to Grangeville 21-6. Differential. -15
Total point differential: -15
(Orofino plays St. Maries this week)

What does this all mean? It means that the seeding of these three teams will all depend on the final score of the St. Maries/Orofino game on Friday night. The following scenarios are all based on Orofino beating St. Maries on Friday night. Here's how it breaks down.

If Orofino wins by 1 point, their point differential will sit at -14 and St. Maries' point differential will sit at +7, tying them with Grangeville's point differential. Since St. Maries beat Grangeville head-to-head, St. Maries would finish first and take seed 1-2A, Grangeville would finish second and take seed 1-2B, and Orofino would finish third and take seed 1-2C.

If Orofino wins by 2-11 points, their point differential will between -13 and -4 and St. Maries' point differential will sit between +6 and -3. Grangeville would finish first and take seed 1-2A, St. Maries would finish second and take seed 1-2B, and Orofino would finish third and take seed 1-2C.

If Orofino wins by 13 or more points, their point differential will sit at -3 or higher and St. Maries' point differential will sit at -4 or lower, meaning that Grangeville will finish first and take seed 1-2A, Orofino will finish second and take seed 1-2B, and St. Maries will finish third and take seed 1-2C.


2A District 3 Western Idaho Conference

Total berths to the state tournament: four.

Clinched Playoff Berth
New Plymouth Pilgrims - conference champion, seed 3A
McCall-Donnelly Vandals - second place, seed 3B

Still In Contention
Cole Valley Christian Chargers
Nampa Christian Trojans
Melba Mustangs

Eliminated
Marsing Huskies

New Plymouth and McCall-Donnelly are the only team to for sure be in the tournament and also know where they are on the bracket. Regardless of the results of their game this week against Melba, their positioning on the bracket won't change. There is still a lot to be sorted out in this week's final games.

This week, New Plymouth hosts Melba, Cole Valley is at Nampa Christian, and Marsing takes on McCall-Donnelly. Here are the scenarios:

If New Plymouth beats Melba, Cole Valley beats Nampa Christian, and McCall-Donnelly beats Marsing
McCall-Donnelly finishes second and takes seed 3B, Cole Valley finished third and takes seed 3C, Melba finishes fourth and takes seed 3D, with Nampa Christian missing the playoffs.

If New Plymouth beats Melba, Cole Valley beats Nampa Christian, and Marsing beats McCall-Donnelly
McCall-Donnelly finishes second and takes seed 3B, Cole Valley finishes third and takes seed 3C, and Melba finishes fourth and takes seed 3D, with Nampa Christian missing the playoffs.

If New Plymouth beats Melba, Nampa Christian beats Cole Valley, and McCall-Donnelly beats Marsing
McCall-Donnelly finishes second and takes seed 3B, and there is a 3-way for third place between Melba, Cole Valley and Nampa Christian.

The three-way tie is broken using the Azzie point differential system. It takes the point-differential of a team's wins and losses against the teams it is in a tie with and combines them for a tiebreaking differential. There is also a cap of 14 points, meaning that a 50-point win is the same as a 14-point win.

Here's how it currently stands points-wise for these three teams:

Melba
Beat Nampa Christian 43-18. Differential: +14
Lost to Cole Valley 20-14. Differential: -6
Total points differential: +8

Nampa Christian
Lost to Melba 43-18. Differential: -14
Total points differential: -14
(Nampa Christian plays Cole Valley this week)

Cole Valley
Beat Melba 20-14. Differential: +6
Total points differential: +6
(Cole Valley plays Nampa Christian this week)

What does this all mean? It means that the final score of the Nampa Christian/Cole Valley game on Friday will play a major role in determining the playoff chances of Melba, Nampa Christian, and Cole Valley. Here's how it breaks down:

If Nampa Christian wins by 1-9 points, their total point differential will sit between -13 and -5 points and Cole Valley's will sit between +5 and -3, with Melba's remaining the same at +8. That means that Melba finishes third and takes seed 3C, Cole Valley finishes fourth and takes seed 3D, and Nampa Christian misses the playoffs.

If Nampa Christian wins by 10 points, their total point differential will sit at -4 points, with Cole Valley's also sitting at -4 points and Melba's sitting at +8 points. Nampa Christian would hold the head-to-head tiebreaker against Cole Valley as well. That would mean that Melba finishes third and takes seed 3C, Nampa Christian finishes fourth and takes seed 3D, and Cole Valley misses the playoffs.

If Nampa Christian wins by 11 or more points, their total point differential will sit between -3 and 0 points, Cole Valley's would sit between -5 and -8 points, and Melba's would sit at +8 points. That would mean that Melba finishes third and takes seed 3C, Nampa Christian finishes fourth and takes seed 3D, and Cole Valley misses the playoffs.

If New Plymouth beats Melba, Nampa Christian beats Cole Valley, and Marsing beats McCall-Donnelly
McCall-Donnelly finishes second and takes seed 3B, and there is a 3-way for third place between Melba, Cole Valley and Nampa Christian.

The three-way tie is broken using the Azzie point differential system. It takes the point-differential of a team's wins and losses against the teams it is in a tie with and combines them for a tiebreaking differential. There is also a cap of 14 points, meaning that a 50-point win is the same as a 14-point win.

Here's how it currently stands points-wise for these three teams:

Melba
Beat Nampa Christian 43-18. Differential: +14
Lost to Cole Valley 20-14. Differential: -6
Total points differential: +8

Nampa Christian
Lost to Melba 43-18. Differential: -14
Total points differential: -14
(Nampa Christian plays Cole Valley this week)

Cole Valley
Beat Melba 20-14. Differential: +6
Total points differential: +6
(Cole Valley plays Nampa Christian this week)

What does this all mean? It means that the final score of the Nampa Christian/Cole Valley game on Friday will play a major role in determining the playoff chances of Melba, Nampa Christian, and Cole Valley. Here's how it breaks down:

If Nampa Christian wins by 1-9 points, their total point differential will sit between -13 and -5 points and Cole Valley's will sit between +5 and -3, with Melba's remaining the same at +8. That means that Melba finishes third and takes seed 3C, Cole Valley finishes fourth and takes seed 3D, and Nampa Christian misses the playoffs.

If Nampa Christian wins by 10 points, their total point differential will sit at -4 points, with Cole Valley's also sitting at -4 points and Melba's sitting at +8 points. Nampa Christian would hold the head-to-head tiebreaker against Cole Valley as well. That would mean that Melba finishes third and takes seed 3C, Nampa Christian finishes fourth and takes seed 3D, and Cole Valley misses the playoffs.

If Nampa Christian wins by 11 or more points, their total point differential will sit between -3 and 0 points, Cole Valley's would sit between -5 and -8 points, and Melba's would sit at +8 points. That would mean that Melba finishes third and takes seed 3C, Nampa Christian finishes fourth and takes seed 3D, and Cole Valley misses the playoffs.

If Melba beats New Plymouth, Cole Valley beats Nampa Christian, and McCall-Donnelly beats Marsing
McCall-Donnelly finishes second and takes seed 3B, Cole Valley finishes third and takes seed 3C, Melba finishes fourth and takes seed 3D, and Nampa Christian misses the playoffs.

If Melba beats New Plymouth, Cole Valley beats Nampa Christian, and Marsing beats McCall-Donnelly
McCall-Donnelly finishes second and takes seed 3B, Cole Valley finishes third and takes seed 3C, Melba finishes fourth and takes seed 3D, and Nampa Christian misses the playoffs.

If Melba beats New Plymouth, Nampa Christian beats Cole Valley, and McCall-Donnelly beats Marsing
McCall-Donnelly finishes second and takes seed 3B, Melba finishes third and takes seed 3C, and Nampa Christian finishes fourth and takes seed 3D, with Cole Valley missing the playoffs.

If Melba beats New Plymouth, Nampa Christian beats Cole Valley, and Marsing beats McCall-Donnelly
McCall-Donnelly finishes second and takes seed 3B, Melba finishes third and takes seed 3C, and Nampa Christian finishes fourth and takes seed 3D, with Cole Valley missing the playoffs.


2A District 4 Canyon Conference

Total berths to the state tournament: two.

Clinched Playoff Berth
Declo Hornets
Wendell Trojans

With two berths to the state tournament and only two teams in the conference, both of these teams were technically in the playoffs before the season ever started. However, it should be noted that the first round of the 2A state tournament is only a play-in round and not officially an IHSAA state tournament round. Regardless, with both teams already into the tournament it just comes down to a matter of seeding now. 

Declo plays at Wendell on Friday. Here are the scenarios:

If Declo beats Wendell
Declo finishes first and takes seed 4A and Wendell finishes second and takes seed 4B.

If Wendell beats Declo
Wendell finishes first and takes seed 4A and Declo finishes second and takes seed 4B.


2A District 5 South East Idaho Conference

Total berths to the state tournament: three.

Clinched Playoff Berth
Bear Lake Bears
Aberdeen Tigers
West Side Pirates

Eliminated
Malad Dragons
Soda Springs Cardinals

Bear Lake, Aberdeen, and West Side have qualified for the playoffs, but they haven't locked down their positioning on the bracket yet. Their final regular season games are all played on Thursday, Oct. 20.

Aberdeen plays at Bear Lake and Malad is at West Side. Here are the scenarios:

If Aberdeen beats Bear Lake and West Side beats Malad
Aberdeen, Bear Lake, and West Side all tie for first place and Soda Springs is eliminated. The tiebreaker is a 3-way coin flip. A representative from each team flips a coin at the same time. If all three coins come up heads-or-tails, the coins are flipped again. If the coin flips yields 2 heads and a tails or 2 tails and a head, the odd-man out is awarded the top-seed. A coin is then flipped again to determine the remaining two seeds to the state tournament.

If Aberdeen beats Bear Lake and Malad beats West Side
Aberdeen finishes first and takes seed 5A, Bear Lake finishes second and takes seed 5B, and West Side finishes third and takes seed 5C.

If Bear Lake beats Aberdeen and West Side beats Malad
Bear Lake finishes first and takes seed 5A, West Side finishes second and takes seed 5B, and Aberdeen finishes third and takes seed 5C.

If Bear Lake beats Aberdeen and Malad beats West Side
Bear Lake finishes first takes seed 5A, West Side finishes second and takes seed 5B, and Aberdeen finishes third and takes seed 5C.


2A District 6 Nuclear Conference

Total berths to the state tournament: four.

Clinched Playoff Berth
North Fremont Huskies
Firth Cougars

Still In Contention
West Jefferson Panthers
Ririe Bulldogs
Salmon Savages

North Fremont and Firth are in to the tournament for sure and will battle for the first and second seeds on Friday in Firth. As for the other three teams, two spots are still available to the tournament.

North Fremont plays at Firth and West Jefferson plays at Salmon on Friday night. Ririe has finished conference play. Here are the scenarios:

If North Fremont beats Firth and West Jefferson beats Salmon
North Fremont finishes first and takes seed 6A, Firth finishes second and takes seed 6B, West Jefferson finishes third and takes seed 6C, Ririe finishes fourth and takes seed 6D, and Salmon is eliminated.

If North Fremont beats Firth and Salmon beats West Jefferson
North Fremont finishes first and takes seed 6A, Firth finishes second and takes seed 6B, and there is a 3-way tie for third place between West Jefferson, Ririe, and Salmon, resulting in a Kansas City Playoff either on Saturday Oct. 22 or Monday Oct. 24 at a neutral location to be determined.

If Firth beats North Fremont and West Jefferson beats Salmon
Firth finishes first and takes seed 6A, North Fremont finishes second and takes seed 6B, West Jefferson finishes third and takes seed 6C, Ririe finishes fourth and takes seed 6D, and Salmon is eliminated.

If Firth beats North Fremont and Salmon beats West Jefferson
Firth finishes first and takes seed 6A, North Fremont finishes second and takes seed 6B, and there is a 3-way tie for third place between West Jefferson, Ririe, and Salmon, resulting in a Kansas City Playoff either on Saturday Oct. 22 or Monday Oct. 24 at a neutral location to be determined.



Fan Comments Sign In | Register
swammee
10/18/2016 2:40:36 PM
Check Your Math, Matt
You show the Melba-Nampa Christian game differential as +14 Melba. The score was 43-18 making for a 25 point differential. Doesn't this change your explanation just a bit? As a Trojan fan, I wish you had it right, but you might want to math-check your otherwise very helpful post.
hurricaneharris7
10/19/2016 1:34:43 PM
swammee, Math Has Been Checked!
Swammee, first of all - thanks for the compliment on the article. The 2A WIC uses the Azzie point differential system with a cap of 14 points. That means that a 50-point win would count as a 14-point win... or, in this case, Melba's 43-18 win over Nampa Christian (a 25-point win) only counts as a 14-point win. The explanation of the Azzie point system is about two paragraphs above the section where I lay out the point differentials.








 
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